This little toddler is just three months. Two things amaze me. The absolute loathing for dummies, and hence denial of drinking milk from a bottle. So mom Alinki must be continuous, milk ready. The second wonder is the development of speech-and specifically articulate the words: mom. When I go to Alink to a large mirror, carefully watching his reflection, minki doing and laughs out loud. I completely conquered this little lady. For clarity-Alinka is my granddaughter.
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Dallas Restaurants That Cut Your Tie Off
theory meaningless prediction
completely - and completely erroneous forecast of the famous Rudolf Hilferding, made in 1909 ("Financial Capital", Moscow - Leningrad: State Socio-Economic Publishing House, 1931. - P.345):
«parallel reduction the role of speculation, change and the psychology of the capitalist public. Psychology of the speculator is very primitive, although his fans and try to open it prophetic abilities and romantic poryvaniya a worldwide reformation. In fact, the changes that have occurred in the behavior of the speculating public sufficiently explained by the common place of capitalist man: live and learn - and not cum still stupid. It seems irrevocably passed those mass psychosis as engender speculation in the early capitalist era, those blissful days when every speculator felt like a god, creating world out of nothing. Fuss with tulips, with their so idyllic overtones, as a poetic love of flowers, humbug to the South sea stocks, surrounded by adventurist - exciting fantasy unprecedented discovery, draft Law on his prospects for world conquest, it's all pushed frank hunter for differential profit, but it ends up crash in 1873 Since then disappeared faith in the miraculous power of credit and Exchange ... Exchange shedding their faithful and retained only the priests, who from other faith do their gesheft ... uplifting and profitable extravagance evaporated, tulips have long faded, and coffee tree gives a trading profit, but does not present speculative profits. Prose poetry kills profits. "
All this is completely untrue and now, a hundred years after these words were written.
completely - and completely erroneous forecast of the famous Rudolf Hilferding, made in 1909 ("Financial Capital", Moscow - Leningrad: State Socio-Economic Publishing House, 1931. - P.345):
«parallel reduction the role of speculation, change and the psychology of the capitalist public. Psychology of the speculator is very primitive, although his fans and try to open it prophetic abilities and romantic poryvaniya a worldwide reformation. In fact, the changes that have occurred in the behavior of the speculating public sufficiently explained by the common place of capitalist man: live and learn - and not cum still stupid. It seems irrevocably passed those mass psychosis as engender speculation in the early capitalist era, those blissful days when every speculator felt like a god, creating world out of nothing. Fuss with tulips, with their so idyllic overtones, as a poetic love of flowers, humbug to the South sea stocks, surrounded by adventurist - exciting fantasy unprecedented discovery, draft Law on his prospects for world conquest, it's all pushed frank hunter for differential profit, but it ends up crash in 1873 Since then disappeared faith in the miraculous power of credit and Exchange ... Exchange shedding their faithful and retained only the priests, who from other faith do their gesheft ... uplifting and profitable extravagance evaporated, tulips have long faded, and coffee tree gives a trading profit, but does not present speculative profits. Prose poetry kills profits. "
All this is completely untrue and now, a hundred years after these words were written.
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
2003 Gmc Yukon Engine
forecast - 2011
Financial Dynamics 2011 will be determined by the "cold" (low-rate and deviations) restoring the economy of industrialized countries (the second year after the crisis of 2007 - 2009.) slowdown of the developing countries, a gradual retraction their processes in rebalancing the world economy (with a change in "financial picture" of the world), against the backdrop of a cautious resumption of financial globalization, growth in financial depth (financial depth) and the securitization of national economies, increase their capitalization, slow, gradual loss of imbalance and the extreme volatility of global finance (with periodic outbreaks of systemic risk in certain segments of financial markets and in selected countries).
during 2011 - the high volatility of the dollar as world reserve currency, causing the mirror fluctuations in the prices of goods and financial assets (within 10 - 15% annual average), increasing trend since 2010 move to increase interest rates as central banks, a correction in prices the gold reaching highs of ancient, massive speculation and high spreads in the market of government bonds (with a gradual smoothing markets by the end of the year), continued upward pressure on rates of Asian currencies (yen, yuan, etc.).
Against this background - 2 - 3 periods a rally in stock markets, interspersed with movements in the "corridors", with 1 - 2 short-term market shocks from sudden manifestation of the systemic risks (countries with excessive public debt, overheating in emerging markets, undeveloped risks of system institutions, bursts of volatility in commodity and currency derivatives). Conservation wide corridors in the movement of world prices for oil and metals (up to 25 - 30% annual average).
Predicted targets on shares: the developed markets - the growth indices 5 - 20%, emerging markets - 10 - 30%, with areas of intensive growth - fall on individual countries range from - 10 to +40%. Resumption of cautious growth in debt mass and the derivatives market, "ostuzhennyh" in 2010, t.ch their international component.
Financial Dynamics 2011 will be determined by the "cold" (low-rate and deviations) restoring the economy of industrialized countries (the second year after the crisis of 2007 - 2009.) slowdown of the developing countries, a gradual retraction their processes in rebalancing the world economy (with a change in "financial picture" of the world), against the backdrop of a cautious resumption of financial globalization, growth in financial depth (financial depth) and the securitization of national economies, increase their capitalization, slow, gradual loss of imbalance and the extreme volatility of global finance (with periodic outbreaks of systemic risk in certain segments of financial markets and in selected countries).
during 2011 - the high volatility of the dollar as world reserve currency, causing the mirror fluctuations in the prices of goods and financial assets (within 10 - 15% annual average), increasing trend since 2010 move to increase interest rates as central banks, a correction in prices the gold reaching highs of ancient, massive speculation and high spreads in the market of government bonds (with a gradual smoothing markets by the end of the year), continued upward pressure on rates of Asian currencies (yen, yuan, etc.).
Against this background - 2 - 3 periods a rally in stock markets, interspersed with movements in the "corridors", with 1 - 2 short-term market shocks from sudden manifestation of the systemic risks (countries with excessive public debt, overheating in emerging markets, undeveloped risks of system institutions, bursts of volatility in commodity and currency derivatives). Conservation wide corridors in the movement of world prices for oil and metals (up to 25 - 30% annual average).
Predicted targets on shares: the developed markets - the growth indices 5 - 20%, emerging markets - 10 - 30%, with areas of intensive growth - fall on individual countries range from - 10 to +40%. Resumption of cautious growth in debt mass and the derivatives market, "ostuzhennyh" in 2010, t.ch their international component.
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Do Nappies Encourage Bedwetting
Dream of winter
Now that the gray and mediocre squeezes under the eyes, I dream of the winter. Contrary to stereotypes, white and frost is a very dynamic components. And when the sun decides to see the work of the winter, you have the most beautiful exhibition of jewelry a man ahead of him. On hand pulling a hundred carats collected outdo each other in beams and migotach. Often, the pictures presented snow blues, and experts point out that snow is white. But each of us witnessed the color of snow modeling by the sun, which governs us. So I dream of the winter, so they remember from their first readings, by the next-all beautiful like that last December's. This pictured, has recently captured, already "przecierkami, the greenness of the substrate and shrubs. For now, I have enough sleep for the winter, but close to returning, very soon ...
Sunday, January 2, 2011
Antena/satelite/recipes
Expectations
still looking forward to a beautiful and dignified behavior. Long ago, qualified people to the group of messengers of God. And so far I can not break free from this taint. To understand one's neighbor, tried to commit itself some wicked deeds, but I felt this even worse. So I'm doomed to alienation, because none of the angel does not want. I should watch the series, because they can see a large group of noble character ...
But every day is not easy. It would clog your ears can not hear, do not close your eyes to see and do their own thing. You can still find solace in poetry, but then life yet the more it hurts. And as always, beautiful Wisla.
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